ATP tennis predict — Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel

ATP Hard Hangzhou · 1. round 07:00

Predicted probability

Dane Sweeny

Australia

52.86%

Taro Daniel

Japan

47.14%

Average Odds

2.27 / 1.62

Market probability

41.65% / 58.35%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1719.6 Elo 1798.0

1626.4 Elo (surface) 1681.4

26 Wins 221

23 Wins (surface) 131

9 Last 15 form 10

2 Head-to-head wins 1

1.058 Dominance ratio 0.827

110 Rank 193

25.6 Age 33.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dane Sweeny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dane Sweeny Taro Daniel

1st Serve In %

62.9%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dane Sweeny Taro Daniel

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

54.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dane Sweeny 2 – 1 Taro Daniel

Hard Brisbane 2 CH · 2026-02-09

R32

Dane Sweeny #138

Taro Daniel #377

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 87

33 First Serve In 54

26 First Serve Won 27

14 Second Serve Won 18

3 Break Points Saved 8

6 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Shanghai Masters · 2023-10-02

R128

Dane Sweeny #273

Taro Daniel #97

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 47

37 First Serve In 24

24 First Serve Won 13

17 Second Serve Won 12

5 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Canada Masters · 2023-08-07

Q1

Taro Daniel #115

Dane Sweeny #240

7-6(4) 7-5

7 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 2

88 Service Points 79

45 First Serve In 46

37 First Serve Won 31

24 Second Serve Won 20

5 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Dane Sweeny — Last 10

Taro Daniel — Last 10