ATP tennis predict — Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 2. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Dane Sweeny

Australia

60.25%

Kimmer Coppejans

Belgium

39.75%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.18

Market probability

57.07% / 42.93%

Why This Prediction?

Dane Sweeny is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (63.6% vs 53.0% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1727 vs 1720) and a stronger return game (42.4% vs 33.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1727.2 Elo 1720.4

1646.6 Elo (surface) 1635.4

27 Wins 55

24 Wins (surface) 30

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.058 Dominance ratio 0.964

112 Rank 232

25.6 Age 32.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dane Sweeny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Kimmer Coppejans

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dane Sweeny Kimmer Coppejans

1st Serve In %

62.8%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.8%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

59.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.6%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dane Sweeny Kimmer Coppejans

Break Points Saved %

55.1%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.7%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dane Sweeny and Kimmer Coppejans have never played each other.

Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans — Prediction