ATP tennis predict — Dane Sweeny vs Duncan Chan

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Dane Sweeny

Australia

48.48%

Duncan Chan

Canada

51.52%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.26

Market probability

59.16% / 40.84%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1583.2 Elo 1601.6

1500.0 Elo (surface) 1582.6

71 Wins (Challenger) 7

65 Wins (surface) 7

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.163 Dominance ratio 0.984

121 Rank 601

25.4 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dane Sweeny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Duncan Chan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dane Sweeny Duncan Chan

1st Serve In %

62.9%

48.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dane Sweeny Duncan Chan

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dane Sweeny 0 – 0 Duncan Chan

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29

1. round

Dane Sweeny #121

Duncan Chan #601

6-4 6-1

0 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 6

65 Service Points 69

31 First Serve In 30

21 First Serve Won 15

19 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Dane Sweeny vs Duncan Chan — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Dane Sweeny — Last 10

Duncan Chan — Last 10