ATP tennis predict — Dan Added vs Lucas Poullain

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Dan Added

France

50.45%

Lucas Poullain

France

49.55%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.09

Market probability

55.29% / 44.71%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1495.2 Elo 1613.4

1527.5 Elo (surface) 1535.3

84 Wins (Challenger) 61

72 Wins (surface) 51

4 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 1.116

224 Rank 439

27.3 Age 30.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dan Added

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Lucas Poullain

1st Serve In %

62.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.47

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

63.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.3%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Lucas Poullain

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dan Added 0 – 0 Lucas Poullain

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Lucas Poullain #500

Dan Added #220

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 1

47 Service Points 58

22 First Serve In 37

15 First Serve Won 22

11 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Dan Added #224

Lucas Poullain #439

7-5 2-6 6-2

7 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 5

88 Service Points 99

41 First Serve In 57

30 First Serve Won 31

18 Second Serve Won 19

9 Break Points Saved 9

15 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Dan Added vs Lucas Poullain — Prediction