ATP tennis predict — Dan Added vs Ilya Ivashka

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Dan Added

France

36.07%

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

63.93%

Average Odds

2.90 / 1.37

Market probability

32.08% / 67.92%

Why This Prediction?

Ilya Ivashka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1637 vs 1521), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1656 vs 1557) and a stronger serve (68.5% vs 56.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1521.4 Elo 1636.7

1557.1 Elo (surface) 1656.2

84 Wins (Challenger) 125

72 Wins (surface) 109

6 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.824 Dominance ratio 1.430

243 Rank 554

27.3 Age 32.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dan Added

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Ilya Ivashka

1st Serve In %

62.9%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.5%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.3%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Ilya Ivashka

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

62.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

51.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dan Added 0 – 0 Ilya Ivashka

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-17

QF

Ilya Ivashka #554

Dan Added #243

6-7 6-1 6-3

4 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 3

113 Service Points 89

67 First Serve In 58

42 First Serve Won 42

20 Second Serve Won 20

11 Break Points Saved 2

16 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Dan Added vs Ilya Ivashka — Prediction