ATP tennis predict — Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Dan Added

France

32.57%

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

67.43%

Average Odds

3.22 / 1.29

Market probability

28.60% / 71.40%

Why This Prediction?

Gauthier Onclin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1699 vs 1545), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1678 vs 1550) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 62.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1544.6 Elo 1698.5

1549.9 Elo (surface) 1677.8

85 Wins (Challenger) 84

73 Wins (surface) 42

4 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.121 Dominance ratio 1.133

374 Rank 172

27.5 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dan Added

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Gauthier Onclin

1st Serve In %

62.9%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.5%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.3%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Gauthier Onclin

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

53.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dan Added 0 – 1 Gauthier Onclin

Hard Lugano CH · 2023-03-06

R32

Gauthier Onclin #228

Dan Added #279

6-4 6-2

0 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 1

68 Service Points 40

36 First Serve In 20

26 First Serve Won 11

17 Second Serve Won 10

7 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin — Prediction