ATP tennis predict — Dan Added vs Antoine Ghibaudo

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Dan Added

France

43.81%

Antoine Ghibaudo

France

56.19%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.76

Market probability

47.18% / 52.82%

Why This Prediction?

Antoine Ghibaudo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1670 vs 1534), a higher Elo rating (1555 vs 1504) and a stronger serve (62.2% vs 56.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1504.0 Elo 1555.0

1534.2 Elo (surface) 1670.5

83 Wins (Challenger) 52

71 Wins (surface) 41

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.800 Dominance ratio 0.926

243 Rank 359

27.3 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dan Added

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Antoine Ghibaudo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Antoine Ghibaudo

1st Serve In %

62.9%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.5%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

21.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.3%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dan Added Antoine Ghibaudo

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

73.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dan Added 0 – 0 Antoine Ghibaudo

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Dan Added #243

Antoine Ghibaudo #359

7-6 3-6 6-3

4 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

97 Service Points 103

57 First Serve In 63

41 First Serve Won 40

23 Second Serve Won 27

5 Break Points Saved 8

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Dan Added vs Antoine Ghibaudo — Prediction