ATP tennis predict — Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes De La Torre

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Damir Dzumhur

Bosnia and Herzeg.

40.69%

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Spain

59.31%

Average Odds

2.21 / 1.58

Market probability

41.69% / 58.31%

Why This Prediction?

Inaki Montes De La Torre is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1766 vs 1692), a stronger serve (61.9% vs 57.8% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.15 vs 0.07).

Player Comparison

1771.0 Elo 1769.1

1692.5 Elo (surface) 1766.4

239 Wins (Challenger) 83

71 Wins (surface) 55

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.951 Dominance ratio 1.145

102 Rank 228

34.4 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Damir Dzumhur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Damir Dzumhur Inaki Montes De La Torre

1st Serve In %

61.5%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

55.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.6%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Damir Dzumhur Inaki Montes De La Torre

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.6%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.8%

34.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Damir Dzumhur 0 – 1 Inaki Montes De La Torre

Hard Manacor CH · 2024-08-26

R32

Inaki Montes De La Torre #715

Damir Dzumhur #82

6-3 4-1 RET

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

44 Service Points 58

30 First Serve In 37

19 First Serve Won 20

9 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes De La Torre — Prediction