ATP tennis predict — Damir Dzumhur vs Hubert Hurkacz

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Damir Dzumhur

Bosnia and Herzeg.

24.78%

Hubert Hurkacz

Poland

75.22%

Average Odds

7.98 / 1.09

Market probability

12.02% / 87.98%

Why This Prediction?

Hubert Hurkacz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1853 vs 1663), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1820 vs 1672) and a stronger serve (67.3% vs 55.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1663.1 Elo 1852.9

1672.4 Elo (surface) 1819.6

255 Wins 261

153 Wins (surface) 173

8 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.911 Dominance ratio 1.000

104 Rank 47

34.3 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Damir Dzumhur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Hubert Hurkacz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Damir Dzumhur Hubert Hurkacz

1st Serve In %

61.5%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

77.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.80

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.1%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Damir Dzumhur Hubert Hurkacz

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

50.6%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Damir Dzumhur 1 – 0 Hubert Hurkacz

Hard US Open · 2026-08-31

1. round

Hubert Hurkacz #47

Damir Dzumhur #104

6-4 4-6 6-1 6-1

0 Aces 14

7 Double Faults 7

107 Service Points 111

61 First Serve In 68

31 First Serve Won 46

17 Second Serve Won 21

7 Break Points Saved 8

16 Break Points Faced 12

21 Winners 47

43 Unforced Errors 43

1.1 Average Odds 8.0

Hard Davis Cup G1 R1: POL vs BIH · 2017-02-03

RR

Damir Dzumhur #82

Hubert Hurkacz #379

7-6(1) 7-5 7-5

4 Aces 5

8 Double Faults 12

123 Service Points 111

69 First Serve In 67

45 First Serve Won 39

27 Second Serve Won 16

10 Break Points Saved 6

16 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Damir Dzumhur vs Hubert Hurkacz — Prediction