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Damir Dzumhur vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux — Prediction

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Damir Dzumhur

Bosnia and Herzeg.

69.45%

Average Odds

1.29  /  3.35

Market probability

72.20%  /  27.80%

Why This Prediction?

Damir Dzumhur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1669 vs 1483), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1683 vs 1515) and more wins on hard courts (153 vs 10).

Player Comparison

1668.9 Elo 1483.0
1682.6 Elo (surface) 1514.8
238 Wins (Challenger) 167
70 Wins (surface) 71
7 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 2
0.897 Dominance ratio 0.978
104 Rank 414
34.2 Age 28.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Damir Dzumhur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Damir Dzumhur Geoffrey Blancaneaux

1st Serve In %

61.5%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%
45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%
34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%
49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.1%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%
69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%
49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%
35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Damir Dzumhur Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Break Points Saved %

59.5%
68.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.6%
41.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
54.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%
35.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Damir Dzumhur 02 Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04
6-2 6-4
2 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 1
52 Service Points 57
33 First Serve In 35
21 First Serve Won 22
15 Second Serve Won 8
2 Break Points Saved 2
3 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.4
Clay Bonn CH · 2024-08-05
3 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 7
60 Service Points 70
38 First Serve In 39
26 First Serve Won 23
11 Second Serve Won 14
3 Break Points Saved 3
6 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Sibiu CH · 2021-09-27
6-2 4-6 6-2
0 Aces 0
3 Double Faults 2
76 Service Points 72
49 First Serve In 45
31 First Serve Won 24
17 Second Serve Won 14
6 Break Points Saved 2
9 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Damir Dzumhur — Last 10

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Geoffrey Blancaneaux — Last 10

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