ATP tennis predict — Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

43.71%

Valentin Royer

France

56.29%

Average Odds

1.98 / 1.83

Market probability

48.03% / 51.97%

Why This Prediction?

Valentin Royer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1662 vs 1553), a stronger return game (48.8% vs 38.9% of return points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.25).

Player Comparison

1706.6 Elo 1748.5

1552.9 Elo (surface) 1662.0

37 Wins 34

30 Wins (surface) 25

8 Last 15 form 3

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.133 Dominance ratio 1.000

134 Rank 75

23.9 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Valentin Royer

1st Serve In %

55.3%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

39.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

60.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Valentin Royer

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina 2 – 0 Valentin Royer

Hard US Open · 2026-08-31

1. round

Dalibor Svrcina #134

Valentin Royer #75

6-4 6-3 5-7 5-7 6-2

8 Aces 11

15 Double Faults 4

143 Service Points 158

77 First Serve In 91

56 First Serve Won 61

35 Second Serve Won 26

10 Break Points Saved 8

17 Break Points Faced 18

61 Winners 54

39 Unforced Errors 42

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Barletta CH · 2025-03-31

SF

Dalibor Svrcina #154

Valentin Royer #116

7-5 6-3

0 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

57 Service Points 69

44 First Serve In 41

33 First Serve Won 31

6 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Prostejov CH · 2024-06-03

R32

Dalibor Svrcina #192

Valentin Royer #198

6-7(7) 6-3 6-3

0 Aces 1

9 Double Faults 7

118 Service Points 98

64 First Serve In 65

47 First Serve Won 39

23 Second Serve Won 10

12 Break Points Saved 5

16 Break Points Faced 12