ATP tennis predict — Dalibor Svrcina vs Rio Noguchi

ATP Hard Hangzhou · qualification - quarterfinal 07:40

Predicted probability

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

66.95%

Rio Noguchi

Japan

33.05%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.45

Market probability

78.90% / 21.10%

Why This Prediction?

Dalibor Svrcina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1826 vs 1682), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1804 vs 1671) and more aces per game (0.13 vs 0.11).

Player Comparison

1826.1 Elo 1682.4

1803.7 Elo (surface) 1671.5

39 Wins 8

32 Wins (surface) 7

9 Last 15 form 5

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.142 Dominance ratio 0.908

128 Rank 221

24.0 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Rio Noguchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–7L · 41.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Rio Noguchi

1st Serve In %

55.3%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

61.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

36.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

64.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Rio Noguchi

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

62.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

45.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina 2 – 0 Rio Noguchi

Hard Hangzhou · 2026-09-23

qualification - quarterfinal

Dalibor Svrcina #128

Rio Noguchi #221

6-4 6-1

4 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

19 First Serve Won 15

12 Second Serve Won 4

6 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Hard Nonthaburi 4 CH · 2024-09-24

R16

Dalibor Svrcina #294

Rio Noguchi #295

6-4 7-5

0 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 2

79 Service Points 86

46 First Serve In 62

30 First Serve Won 34

12 Second Serve Won 5

4 Break Points Saved 7

9 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Vicenza CH · 2023-05-29

R32

Dalibor Svrcina #232

Rio Noguchi #205

6-4 6-3

1 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 3

54 Service Points 64

38 First Serve In 46

27 First Serve Won 26

6 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dalibor Svrcina vs Rio Noguchi — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina — Last 10

Rio Noguchi — Last 10