ATP tennis predict — Dalibor Svrcina vs Mackenzie Mcdonald

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 3. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

45.04%

Mackenzie Mcdonald

USA

54.96%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.06

Market probability

54.79% / 45.21%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1696.3 Elo 1609.1

1530.2 Elo (surface) 1605.7

36 Wins 182

29 Wins (surface) 130

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.144 Dominance ratio 1.031

134 Rank 146

23.9 Age 31.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Mackenzie Mcdonald

1st Serve In %

55.3%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Mackenzie Mcdonald

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina 0 – 0 Mackenzie Mcdonald

Hard US Open · 2026-08-28

qualification - 3. round

Dalibor Svrcina #134

Mackenzie Mcdonald #146

4-6 6-2 7-5

6 Aces 7

7 Double Faults 5

89 Service Points 90

46 First Serve In 57

33 First Serve Won 39

26 Second Serve Won 12

8 Break Points Saved 1

11 Break Points Faced 6

32 Winners 28

24 Unforced Errors 40

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Dalibor Svrcina vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Prediction