ATP tennis predict — Dalibor Svrcina vs Luciano Darderi

ATP Hard Los Cabos · R16

Predicted probability

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

57.66%

Luciano Darderi

Italy

42.34%

Average Odds

2.63 / 1.48

Market probability

36.01% / 63.99%

Why This Prediction?

Dalibor Svrcina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1509 vs 1451) and more wins on hard courts (50 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1703.5 Elo 1771.7

1508.5 Elo (surface) 1450.8

33 Wins 90

26 Wins (surface) 15

8 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 3

1.103 Dominance ratio 0.816

116 Rank 23

23.8 Age 24.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Luciano Darderi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Luciano Darderi

1st Serve In %

55.3%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.77

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

52.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

57.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Luciano Darderi

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

71.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina 1 – 3 Luciano Darderi

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Luciano Darderi #22

Dalibor Svrcina #134

6-3 6-7 6-4 6-4

16 Aces 11

9 Double Faults 20

163 Service Points 129

91 First Serve In 67

59 First Serve Won 48

31 Second Serve Won 16

13 Break Points Saved 11

20 Break Points Faced 21

53 Winners 70

34 Unforced Errors 63

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-30

R16

Dalibor Svrcina #116

Luciano Darderi #23

3-0

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

10 Service Points 27

7 First Serve In 15

7 First Serve Won 8

1 Second Serve Won 4

0 Break Points Saved 6

0 Break Points Faced 7

8 Winners 7

3 Unforced Errors 12

2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Naples CH · 2025-03-24

SF

Luciano Darderi #61

Dalibor Svrcina #165

1-6 6-2 7-5

5 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 1

94 Service Points 81

62 First Serve In 61

32 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 8

6 Break Points Saved 4

13 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Guayaquil CH · 2023-10-30

R32

Luciano Darderi #140

Dalibor Svrcina #162

6-2 6-3

6 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

40 Service Points 49

22 First Serve In 33

18 First Serve Won 15

8 Second Serve Won 5

0 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Prostejov CH · 2023-06-05

R32

Dalibor Svrcina #232

Luciano Darderi #179

5-7 6-4 6-0

1 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 4

97 Service Points 108

74 First Serve In 69

47 First Serve Won 35

9 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Iasi CH · 2022-07-11

R16

Luciano Darderi #215

Dalibor Svrcina #172

5-7 7-5 7-6(6)

5 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 10

144 Service Points 112

80 First Serve In 83

51 First Serve Won 50

28 Second Serve Won 9

13 Break Points Saved 5

20 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dalibor Svrcina vs Luciano Darderi — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina — Last 10

Luciano Darderi — Last 10