ATP tennis predict — Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

60.65%

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Brazil

39.35%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.35

Market probability

72.04% / 27.96%

Why This Prediction?

Dalibor Svrcina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1671 vs 1632), more wins on hard courts (50 vs 8) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 33.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1671.4 Elo 1631.9

1490.5 Elo (surface) 1429.8

34 Wins 43

27 Wins (surface) 10

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.073 Dominance ratio 0.879

114 Rank 567

23.9 Age 28.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Felipe Meligeni Alves

1st Serve In %

55.3%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Felipe Meligeni Alves

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

30.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina 0 – 1 Felipe Meligeni Alves

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Dalibor Svrcina #134

Felipe Meligeni Alves #459

6-3 6-4

8 Aces 7

5 Double Faults 3

65 Service Points 70

36 First Serve In 42

28 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 9

6 Break Points Faced 14

15 Winners 27

18 Unforced Errors 20

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Hard Us Open · 2023-08-28

Q1

Felipe Meligeni Alves #168

Dalibor Svrcina #164

2-6 6-2 6-3

7 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 5

86 Service Points 72

53 First Serve In 43

36 First Serve Won 29

17 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni Alves — Prediction