ATP tennis predict — Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexis Galarneau

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

47.85%

Alexis Galarneau

Canada

52.15%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.64

Market probability

64.71% / 35.29%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1683.5 Elo 1661.4

1506.0 Elo (surface) 1610.3

35 Wins 16

28 Wins (surface) 10

8 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.146 Dominance ratio 0.976

134 Rank 183

23.9 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Alexis Galarneau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Alexis Galarneau

1st Serve In %

55.3%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dalibor Svrcina Alexis Galarneau

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

32.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dalibor Svrcina 1 – 0 Alexis Galarneau

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Dalibor Svrcina #134

Alexis Galarneau #183

7-6 6-2

4 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 2

78 Service Points 64

48 First Serve In 42

32 First Serve Won 19

11 Second Serve Won 10

7 Break Points Saved 8

11 Break Points Faced 14

30 Winners 18

34 Unforced Errors 27

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Cancun CH · 2025-08-12

R16

Dalibor Svrcina #115

Alexis Galarneau #174

6-1 6-1

0 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

39 Service Points 40

27 First Serve In 22

17 First Serve Won 6

5 Second Serve Won 5

2 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexis Galarneau — Prediction