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Dali Blanch vs Milos Karol — Prediction

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Dali Blanch

USA

61.16%

Milos Karol

Slovakia

38.84%

Average Odds

1.51  /  2.42

Market probability

61.58%  /  38.42%

Why This Prediction?

Dali Blanch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1609 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1545) and a stronger return game (40.3% vs 34.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1608.0 Elo 1545.4
1608.8 Elo (surface) 1500.1
64 Wins (Challenger) 50
53 Wins (surface) 24
5 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.055 Dominance ratio 0.955
325 Rank 583
23.6 Age 23.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dali Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Milos Karol

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dali Blanch Milos Karol

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.8%
58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%
78.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%
45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
26.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

63.8%
47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dali Blanch Milos Karol

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%
54.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.4%
24.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dali Blanch and Milos Karol have never played each other.

Dali Blanch — Last 10

L L W W L L W L L W

Milos Karol — Last 10

L L W W L L W W W L