ATP tennis predict — Dali Blanch vs Max Alcala Gurri

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Dali Blanch

USA

26.52%

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

73.48%

Average Odds

3.12 / 1.31

Market probability

29.57% / 70.43%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1822 vs 1619), a higher Elo rating (1816 vs 1617) and a stronger return game (46.2% vs 40.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1616.9 Elo 1816.3

1618.6 Elo (surface) 1821.6

64 Wins (Challenger) 62

53 Wins (surface) 62

5 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 1.205

318 Rank 138

23.6 Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dali Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–4L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dali Blanch Max Alcala Gurri

1st Serve In %

—

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

52.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.52

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

68.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.2%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dali Blanch Max Alcala Gurri

Break Points Saved %

—

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.6%

55.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dali Blanch 1 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri

Clay Lyon challenger · 2026-06-09

1. round

Dali Blanch #284

Max Alcala Gurri #275

7-5 6-2

0 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 3

59 Service Points 60

45 First Serve In 33

27 First Serve Won 25

7 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 8

6 Winners 27

23 Unforced Errors 33

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Dali Blanch vs Max Alcala Gurri — Prediction