ATP tennis predict — Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · qualification - quarterfinal 23:00

Predicted probability

Dali Blanch

USA

56.44%

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Brazil

43.56%

Average Odds

2.23 / 1.55

Market probability

41.01% / 58.99%

Why This Prediction?

Dali Blanch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1528 vs 1418), a stronger serve (61.9% vs 59.3% of service points won) and a stronger return game (39.4% vs 31.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1584.5 Elo 1637.7

1528.1 Elo (surface) 1417.6

61 Wins (Challenger) 151

11 Wins (surface) 7

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 0.783

313 Rank 567

23.5 Age 28.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dali Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dali Blanch Felipe Meligeni Alves

1st Serve In %

—

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dali Blanch Felipe Meligeni Alves

Break Points Saved %

—

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

30.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

51.2%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dali Blanch 0 – 0 Felipe Meligeni Alves

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - quarterfinal

Felipe Meligeni Alves #567

Dali Blanch #313

6-7 7-6 6-2

20 Aces 3

10 Double Faults 2

117 Service Points 117

64 First Serve In 72

48 First Serve Won 49

15 Second Serve Won 21

4 Break Points Saved 9

10 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Dali Blanch vs Felipe Meligeni Alves — Prediction