ATP tennis predict — Cyril Vandermeersch vs Iliyan Radulov

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Cyril Vandermeersch

France

20.40%

Iliyan Radulov

Bulgaria

79.60%

Average Odds

3.22 / 1.31

Market probability

28.92% / 71.08%

Why This Prediction?

Iliyan Radulov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1465 vs 1243), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1555 vs 1238) and a stronger return game (40.6% vs 32.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1242.7 Elo 1465.0

1238.2 Elo (surface) 1555.5

5 Wins (Challenger) 7

5 Wins (surface) 2

4 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.672 Dominance ratio 0.955

410 Rank 645

27.2 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cyril Vandermeersch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Iliyan Radulov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cyril Vandermeersch Iliyan Radulov

1st Serve In %

—

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

80.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

64.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cyril Vandermeersch Iliyan Radulov

Break Points Saved %

—

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cyril Vandermeersch 0 – 0 Iliyan Radulov

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Cyril Vandermeersch #414

Iliyan Radulov #618

6-3 6-2

4 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

51 Service Points 59

34 First Serve In 38

25 First Serve Won 20

12 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.2 Average Odds 1.3

Cyril Vandermeersch vs Iliyan Radulov — Prediction