ATP tennis predict — Cyril Vandermeersch vs Aziz Ouakaa

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Cyril Vandermeersch

France

21.59%

Aziz Ouakaa

Tunisia

78.41%

Average Odds

1.74 / 1.99

Market probability

53.35% / 46.65%

Why This Prediction?

Aziz Ouakaa is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1512 vs 1295), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1538 vs 1296) and more career match wins (16 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1295.1 Elo 1511.9

1295.8 Elo (surface) 1538.1

6 Wins (Challenger) 16

6 Wins (surface) 14

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.727 Dominance ratio 0.714

414 Rank 490

27.2 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cyril Vandermeersch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Aziz Ouakaa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cyril Vandermeersch Aziz Ouakaa

1st Serve In %

—

54.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cyril Vandermeersch Aziz Ouakaa

Break Points Saved %

—

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cyril Vandermeersch 0 – 0 Aziz Ouakaa

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Cyril Vandermeersch #414

Aziz Ouakaa #490

6-3 6-1

3 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 6

42 Service Points 71

30 First Serve In 39

26 First Serve Won 25

7 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 10

0 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Cyril Vandermeersch vs Aziz Ouakaa — Prediction