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Cruz Hewitt vs Timofei Derepasko — Prediction

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · R16 08:45

Predicted probability

Cruz Hewitt

Australia

68.69%

Timofei Derepasko

Russia

31.31%

Average Odds

1.21  /  4.14

Market probability

77.38%  /  22.62%

Why This Prediction?

Cruz Hewitt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1687 vs 1564), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1655 vs 1569) and more wins on hard courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1687.3 Elo 1563.8
1655.2 Elo (surface) 1569.5
9 Wins (Challenger) 5
8 Wins (surface) 5
7 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.952 Dominance ratio 1.125
354 Rank 680
17.7 Age 19.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cruz Hewitt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Timofei Derepasko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cruz Hewitt Timofei Derepasko

1st Serve In %

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%
58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%
51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%
39.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%
48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cruz Hewitt Timofei Derepasko

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.8%
56.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%
41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cruz Hewitt 00 Timofei Derepasko

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-10
5 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
24 First Serve Won 18
13 Second Serve Won 17
5 Break Points Saved 4
5 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Cruz Hewitt — Last 10

L W W L W W L W L W

Timofei Derepasko — Last 10

L W W L W W W L L L