ATP tennis predict — Colin Sinclair vs Maxwell Mckennon

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Colin Sinclair

N. Mariana Isl.

44.98%

Maxwell Mckennon

USA

55.02%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.87

Market probability

50.40% / 49.60%

Why This Prediction?

Maxwell Mckennon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1488 vs 1430) and a stronger return game (41.4% vs 37.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1427.4 Elo 1457.8

1430.0 Elo (surface) 1487.6

54 Wins (Challenger) 19

49 Wins (surface) 13

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.169 Dominance ratio 1.124

511 Rank 613

31.6 Age 24.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Colin Sinclair

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Maxwell Mckennon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Colin Sinclair Maxwell Mckennon

1st Serve In %

60.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.39

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%

55.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.1%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Colin Sinclair Maxwell Mckennon

Break Points Saved %

14.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

55.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Colin Sinclair 0 – 0 Maxwell Mckennon

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Colin Sinclair #511

Maxwell Mckennon #613

6-4 7-6

16 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

65 Service Points 72

48 First Serve In 43

43 First Serve Won 30

8 Second Serve Won 19

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Colin Sinclair vs Maxwell Mckennon — Prediction