ATP tennis predict — Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Colin Sinclair

N. Mariana Isl.

56.80%

Linang Xiao

China

43.20%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.14

Market probability

56.46% / 43.54%

Why This Prediction?

Colin Sinclair is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1504 vs 1352), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1506 vs 1345) and a stronger serve (71.1% vs 62.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1503.6 Elo 1351.6

1506.4 Elo (surface) 1345.0

57 Wins (Challenger) 13

52 Wins (surface) 13

9 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.186 Dominance ratio 0.866

501 Rank 1115

31.7 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Colin Sinclair

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Linang Xiao

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-09-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Colin Sinclair Linang Xiao

1st Serve In %

60.3%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

63.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.1%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Colin Sinclair Linang Xiao

Break Points Saved %

14.3%

45.6%

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Colin Sinclair 0 – 0 Linang Xiao

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Colin Sinclair #483

Linang Xiao #1001

6-4 1-6 7-6

13 Aces 2

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

8 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao — Prediction