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Coleman Wong vs Yibing Wu — Prediction

ATP Hard Asian Games · F 03:30

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

60.71%

Yibing Wu

China

39.29%

Average Odds

-  /  -

Market probability

-  /  -

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (69.7% vs 62.1% of service points won), a stronger return game (39.6% vs 33.9% of return points won) and a better head-to-head record against Yibing Wu (1-0).

Player Comparison

1850.1 Elo 1864.3
1831.5 Elo (surface) 1863.8
49 Wins 54
48 Wins (surface) 46
10 Last 15 form 5
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.309 Dominance ratio 0.894
100 Rank 111
22.3 Age 27.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–5L · 61.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yibing Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Yibing Wu

1st Serve In %

53.1%
60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.3%
71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%
50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%
28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%
46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%
55.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%
48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%
30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%
51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Yibing Wu

Break Points Saved %

66.0%
64.6%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%
35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%
56.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 1 – 0 Yibing Wu

Hard Hangzhou · 2024-09-18
6-3 0-0 RET
8 Aces 0
0 Double Faults 0
21 Service Points 35
15 First Serve In 21
14 First Serve Won 13
3 Second Serve Won 5
0 Break Points Saved 3
0 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Coleman Wong — Last 10

L W W L W W W L W W

Yibing Wu — Last 10

L W W L L W L W W W