ATP tennis predict — Coleman Wong vs Seong Chan Hong

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 18:10

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

75.29%

Seong Chan Hong

South Korea

24.71%

Average Odds

1.16 / 5.01

Market probability

81.20% / 18.80%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1632 vs 1546), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1675 vs 1576) and a stronger serve (68.3% vs 65.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1631.6 Elo 1546.3

1675.2 Elo (surface) 1575.6

42 Wins 14

41 Wins (surface) 13

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.034 Dominance ratio 0.972

92 Rank -

22.2 Age 29.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Seong Chan Hong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Seong Chan Hong

1st Serve In %

53.9%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Seong Chan Hong

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

31.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 0 – 1 Seong Chan Hong

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-11

qualification - 1. round

Coleman Wong #92

Seong Chan Hong #-

6-4 6-2

5 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 4

68 Service Points 49

31 First Serve In 21

24 First Serve Won 16

23 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 6

21 Winners 10

27 Unforced Errors 23

1.2 Average Odds 5.0

Hard Busan CH · 2024-04-08

QF

Seong Chan Hong #201

Coleman Wong #194

6-4 3-6 6-2

5 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 4

82 Service Points 82

43 First Serve In 40

29 First Serve Won 31

22 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Coleman Wong vs Seong Chan Hong — Prediction