ATP tennis predict — Coleman Wong vs Otto Virtanen

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 17:30

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

42.47%

Otto Virtanen

Finland

57.53%

Average Odds

2.02 / 1.74

Market probability

46.28% / 53.72%

Why This Prediction?

Otto Virtanen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1778 vs 1642), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1770 vs 1686) and a better head-to-head record against Coleman Wong (2-0).

Player Comparison

1642.2 Elo 1778.1

1686.0 Elo (surface) 1770.3

43 Wins 54

42 Wins (surface) 28

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.095 Dominance ratio 0.857

92 Rank 114

22.2 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Otto Virtanen

1st Serve In %

53.9%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Otto Virtanen

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 0 – 2 Otto Virtanen

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Coleman Wong #92

Otto Virtanen #114

7-6 7-6

9 Aces 13

6 Double Faults 5

86 Service Points 82

47 First Serve In 46

33 First Serve Won 39

23 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 7

16 Winners 32

22 Unforced Errors 46

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Hard Davis Cup WG1 PO: HKG vs FIN · 2026-02-07

RR

Otto Virtanen #116

Coleman Wong #136

7-5 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Birmingham CH · 2025-06-02

QF

Otto Virtanen #114

Coleman Wong #175

6-2 7-5

6 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 1

49 Service Points 53

33 First Serve In 32

31 First Serve Won 25

9 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 3