ATP tennis predict — Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

65.37%

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

34.63%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.75

Market probability

66.11% / 33.89%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1696 vs 1562), a stronger serve (65.1% vs 58.9% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (44 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1682.2 Elo 1664.1

1696.4 Elo (surface) 1562.2

45 Wins 13

44 Wins (surface) 4

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.271 Dominance ratio 1.143

94 Rank 191

22.2 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Lukas Neumayer

1st Serve In %

53.9%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Lukas Neumayer

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 0 – 0 Lukas Neumayer

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Coleman Wong #94

Lukas Neumayer #191

6-3 6-3

10 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 3

45 Service Points 64

22 First Serve In 41

19 First Serve Won 25

17 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 6

0 Break Points Faced 9

23 Winners 13

20 Unforced Errors 25

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer — Prediction