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Coleman Wong vs Khumoun Sultanov — Prediction

ATP Hard Asian Games · SF

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

82.00%

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

18.00%

Average Odds

-  /  -

Market probability

-  /  -

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1850 vs 1571), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1832 vs 1572) and a stronger serve (69.7% vs 60.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1850.1 Elo 1571.1
1831.5 Elo (surface) 1571.7
49 Wins 7
48 Wins (surface) 6
10 Last 15 form 6
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.309 Dominance ratio 0.961
100 Rank 439
22.3 Age 27.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–5L · 61.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Khumoun Sultanov

1st Serve In %

53.1%
59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.3%
69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%
49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%
26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%
53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%
61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%
72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%
54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%
54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Khumoun Sultanov

Break Points Saved %

66.0%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%
40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%
52.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 1 – 0 Khumoun Sultanov

Hard Davis Cup WG2 R1: HKG vs UZB · 2025-09-13
- Aces -
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
- Break Points Saved -
- Break Points Faced -
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Coleman Wong — Last 10

L W W L W W W L W W

Khumoun Sultanov — Last 10

L L L W W W L W W W