ATP tennis predict — Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej

ATP Hard Asian Games · QF 06:00

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

79.79%

Kasidit Samrej

Thailand

20.21%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1850 vs 1650), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1832 vs 1627) and a stronger serve (69.7% vs 56.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1850.1 Elo 1649.9

1831.5 Elo (surface) 1627.3

49 Wins 4

48 Wins (surface) 4

10 Last 15 form 4

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.309 Dominance ratio 0.862

100 Rank 389

22.3 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–5L · 61.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kasidit Samrej

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Kasidit Samrej

1st Serve In %

53.1%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.3%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

41.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.51

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Kasidit Samrej

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

48.4%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

78.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 1 – 1 Kasidit Samrej

Hard Seoul CH · 2024-10-28

R16

Kasidit Samrej #469

Coleman Wong #157

6-7(1) 7-5 6-4

5 Aces 15

4 Double Faults 7

131 Service Points 122

69 First Serve In 66

54 First Serve Won 51

30 Second Serve Won 28

15 Break Points Saved 8

16 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Nonthaburi 4 CH · 2024-09-24

R32

Coleman Wong #134

Kasidit Samrej #523

6-4 6-3

7 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 5

57 Service Points 62

37 First Serve In 32

25 First Serve Won 17

9 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 8