ATP tennis predict — Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moller

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

71.45%

Elmer Moller

Denmark

28.55%

Average Odds

1.24 / 3.50

Market probability

73.84% / 26.16%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1688 vs 1498), a stronger serve (68.5% vs 58.1% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (43 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1666.9 Elo 1665.5

1688.3 Elo (surface) 1498.1

44 Wins 18

43 Wins (surface) 6

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.149 Dominance ratio 0.989

93 Rank 172

22.2 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Elmer Moller

1st Serve In %

53.9%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Elmer Moller

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 0 – 0 Elmer Moller

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Coleman Wong #94

Elmer Moller #170

5-7 6-3 6-4

13 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 8

97 Service Points 129

48 First Serve In 73

41 First Serve Won 44

24 Second Serve Won 30

10 Break Points Saved 12

12 Break Points Faced 15

29 Winners 30

53 Unforced Errors 54

1.2 Average Odds 3.5

Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moller — Prediction