ATP tennis predict — Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 3. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

70.94%

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

29.06%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.62

Market probability

64.53% / 35.47%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (70.9% vs 61.8% of service points won), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1707 vs 1665) and more aces per game (0.38 vs 0.21).

Player Comparison

1696.6 Elo 1683.8

1706.7 Elo (surface) 1664.7

46 Wins 324

45 Wins (surface) 145

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.349 Dominance ratio 0.758

94 Rank 167

22.2 Age 36.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Dusan Lajovic

1st Serve In %

53.9%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Dusan Lajovic

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

28.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 0 – 0 Dusan Lajovic

Hard US Open · 2026-08-27

qualification - 3. round

Coleman Wong #94

Dusan Lajovic #167

6-4 6-3

9 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 3

61 Service Points 62

34 First Serve In 43

29 First Serve Won 29

13 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 5

23 Winners 11

18 Unforced Errors 21

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic — Prediction