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Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

58.87%

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

41.13%

Average Odds

1.72  /  2.09

Market probability

54.86%  /  45.14%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1704 vs 1597), a better head-to-head record against Daniel Altmaier (1-0) and a stronger serve (67.6% vs 65.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1661.4 Elo 1756.5
1704.4 Elo (surface) 1596.9
44 Wins 115
43 Wins (surface) 42
7 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.075 Dominance ratio 1.086
92 Rank 60
22.2 Age 27.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Daniel Altmaier

1st Serve In %

53.9%
61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%
72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%
43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.70
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%
50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%
38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Daniel Altmaier

Break Points Saved %

75.0%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%
33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 10 Daniel Altmaier

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-14
3-6 6-3 6-4
11 Aces 9
7 Double Faults 3
88 Service Points 91
47 First Serve In 54
37 First Serve Won 39
16 Second Serve Won 19
3 Break Points Saved 7
7 Break Points Faced 10
25 Winners 32
41 Unforced Errors 37
2.1 Average Odds 1.7
Hard Miami Masters · 2025-03-19
6-4 6-3
5 Aces 6
1 Double Faults 0
52 Service Points 48
35 First Serve In 36
32 First Serve Won 27
10 Second Serve Won 5
4 Break Points Saved 1
4 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Coleman Wong — Last 10

L W W W L W W L W W

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10

L L W L W L W L W L