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Coleman Wong vs Cruz Hewitt — Prediction

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 11:15

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

67.45%

Cruz Hewitt

Australia

32.55%

Average Odds

1.22  /  4.04

Market probability

76.81%  /  23.19%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1850 vs 1694), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1832 vs 1669) and a stronger serve (69.7% vs 55.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1850.1 Elo 1693.6
1831.5 Elo (surface) 1669.5
49 Wins 4
48 Wins (surface) 4
10 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.309 Dominance ratio 0.826
100 Rank 322
22.3 Age 17.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–5L · 61.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Cruz Hewitt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Cruz Hewitt

1st Serve In %

53.1%
59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.3%
63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%
26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%
50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%
73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%
29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%
46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Cruz Hewitt

Break Points Saved %

66.0%
56.8%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%
39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%
65.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong and Cruz Hewitt have never played each other.

Coleman Wong — Last 10

L W W L W W W L W W

Cruz Hewitt — Last 10

L W W L W W L W L W