ATP tennis predict — Coleman Wong vs Alan Magadan

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · R16 00:55

Predicted probability

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

58.58%

Alan Magadan

Mexico

41.42%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.48

Market probability

79.15% / 20.85%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (66.9% vs 58.5% of service points won), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1697 vs 1628) and a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1627).

Player Comparison

1664.5 Elo 1626.7

1697.3 Elo (surface) 1627.6

87 Wins (Challenger) 19

79 Wins (surface) 12

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.016 Dominance ratio 0.902

93 Rank 561

22.2 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Alan Magadan

1st Serve In %

53.9%

52.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Coleman Wong Alan Magadan

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

36.1%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Coleman Wong 0 – 0 Alan Magadan

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-21

R16

Coleman Wong #93

Alan Magadan #561

6-4 1-6 7-6

5 Aces 18

2 Double Faults 4

89 Service Points 97

54 First Serve In 49

43 First Serve Won 40

19 Second Serve Won 24

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.6

Coleman Wong vs Alan Magadan — Prediction