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Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Clement Tabur

France

68.44%

Matteo Martineau

France

31.56%

Average Odds

1.53  /  2.27

Market probability

59.74%  /  40.26%

Why This Prediction?

Clement Tabur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1701 vs 1593), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1691 vs 1622) and fewer double faults per game (0.05 vs 0.22).

Player Comparison

1701.3 Elo 1593.5
1690.5 Elo (surface) 1622.5
93 Wins (Challenger) 154
31 Wins (surface) 88
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.990 Dominance ratio 1.047
160 Rank 276
26.7 Age 27.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Clement Tabur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Matteo Martineau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Clement Tabur Matteo Martineau

1st Serve In %

60.6%
66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%
71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.3%
42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%
24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%
44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.54
0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.3%
69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%
40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.2%
29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.2%
48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Clement Tabur Matteo Martineau

Break Points Saved %

60.9%
60.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%
27.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.5%
68.6%

Break Points Converted %

28.7%
36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Clement Tabur and Matteo Martineau have never played each other.

Clement Tabur — Last 10

L L L L L W L W W W

Matteo Martineau — Last 10

L W W W L W L L W L