ATP tennis predict — Clement Chidekh vs Federico Coria

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Clement Chidekh

France

67.81%

Federico Coria

Argentina

32.19%

Average Odds

1.08 / 7.47

Market probability

87.37% / 12.63%

Why This Prediction?

Clement Chidekh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1685 vs 1438), more wins on hard courts (71 vs 4) and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 8).

Player Comparison

1642.1 Elo 1663.0

1684.7 Elo (surface) 1437.8

7 Wins 81

7 Wins (surface) 12

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.016 Dominance ratio 1.076

185 Rank 897

25.2 Age 34.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Clement Chidekh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Federico Coria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Clement Chidekh Federico Coria

1st Serve In %

58.8%

66.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

63.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Clement Chidekh Federico Coria

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Clement Chidekh 0 – 0 Federico Coria

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Clement Chidekh #185

Federico Coria #897

6-2 6-2

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 6

47 Service Points 58

28 First Serve In 31

19 First Serve Won 16

10 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 11

22 Winners 10

17 Unforced Errors 17

1.1 Average Odds 7.5

Clement Chidekh vs Federico Coria — Prediction