ATP tennis predict — Chun Hsin Tseng vs Yosuke Watanuki

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · R16 05:10

Predicted probability

Chun Hsin Tseng

Chinese Taipei

51.96%

Yosuke Watanuki

Japan

48.04%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.01

Market probability

53.74% / 46.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1663.6 Elo 1613.0

1514.3 Elo (surface) 1648.7

189 Wins (Challenger) 157

58 Wins (surface) 143

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.211 Dominance ratio 1.148

221 Rank 420

25.1 Age 28.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Chun Hsin Tseng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Yosuke Watanuki

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chun Hsin Tseng Yosuke Watanuki

1st Serve In %

62.1%

50.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

74.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.1%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.72

Double Faults per Service Game

0.08

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chun Hsin Tseng Yosuke Watanuki

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

44.4%

Break Points Converted %

27.8%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

66.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Chun Hsin Tseng 0 – 1 Yosuke Watanuki

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-02

R16

Chun Hsin Tseng #221

Yosuke Watanuki #420

7-5 6-3

3 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 8

61 Service Points 104

39 First Serve In 54

27 First Serve Won 38

14 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 12

3 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Hard Kobe CH · 2025-11-10

SF

Yosuke Watanuki #182

Chun Hsin Tseng #131

2-6 6-2 6-1

12 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 3

79 Service Points 66

47 First Serve In 37

36 First Serve Won 20

13 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Chun Hsin Tseng vs Yosuke Watanuki — Prediction