ATP tennis predict — Chun Hsin Tseng vs Tom Gentzsch

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Chun Hsin Tseng

Chinese Taipei

46.76%

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

53.24%

Average Odds

2.20 / 1.62

Market probability

42.41% / 57.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1637.6 Elo 1679.0

1690.1 Elo (surface) 1714.2

184 Wins (Challenger) 56

127 Wins (surface) 34

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.978 Dominance ratio 0.940

272 Rank 185

25.0 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Chun Hsin Tseng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chun Hsin Tseng Tom Gentzsch

1st Serve In %

62.1%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.1%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.08

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chun Hsin Tseng Tom Gentzsch

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

27.8%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Chun Hsin Tseng 0 – 0 Tom Gentzsch

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-05

R16

Tom Gentzsch #185

Chun Hsin Tseng #272

6-1 1-6 6-1

5 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 4

65 Service Points 60

43 First Serve In 34

28 First Serve Won 27

10 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Chun Hsin Tseng vs Tom Gentzsch — Prediction