ATP tennis predict — Christian Langmo vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Christian Langmo

USA

34.47%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Ukraine

65.53%

Average Odds

2.63 / 1.37

Market probability

34.25% / 65.75%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksandr Ovcharenko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1628 vs 1543), a higher Elo rating (1590 vs 1501) and a stronger serve (68.2% vs 67.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1501.1 Elo 1589.7

1543.1 Elo (surface) 1628.1

91 Wins (Challenger) 21

17 Wins (surface) 16

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.971 Dominance ratio 1.210

524 Rank 615

30.3 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Christian Langmo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Christian Langmo Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

65.4%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

75.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

19.9%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.8%

55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Christian Langmo Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

68.4%

62.9%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

48.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Christian Langmo and Oleksandr Ovcharenko have never played each other.

Christian Langmo vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko — Prediction