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Christian Langmo vs Maks Kasnikowski — Prediction

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · R16 09:00

Predicted probability

Maks Kasnikowski

Poland

79.82%

Average Odds

3.75  /  1.24

Market probability

24.85%  /  75.15%

Why This Prediction?

Maks Kasnikowski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1695 vs 1496), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1633 vs 1468) and more wins on hard courts (7 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1495.6 Elo 1694.7
1467.7 Elo (surface) 1633.1
89 Wins (Challenger) 108
73 Wins (surface) 65
5 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.971 Dominance ratio 1.047
473 Rank 258
30.3 Age 23.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Christian Langmo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Maks Kasnikowski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Christian Langmo Maks Kasnikowski

1st Serve In %

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%
66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%
53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.5%
33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%
48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Christian Langmo Maks Kasnikowski

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

25.5%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Christian Langmo 00 Maks Kasnikowski

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-09
14 Aces 6
3 Double Faults 0
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
47 First Serve Won 30
10 Second Serve Won 13
10 Break Points Saved 1
13 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Christian Langmo — Last 10

L L W L L L L W L L

Maks Kasnikowski — Last 10

L W W W L W L L W L