ATP tennis predict — Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Christian Langmo

USA

40.59%

Lorenzo Giustino

Italy

59.41%

Average Odds

3.40 / 1.29

Market probability

27.51% / 72.49%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Giustino is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1649 vs 1520), more wins on clay courts (177 vs 18) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1622 vs 1578).

Player Comparison

1519.6 Elo 1648.8

1577.9 Elo (surface) 1622.0

92 Wins (Challenger) 249

18 Wins (surface) 177

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.971 Dominance ratio 0.976

534 Rank 216

30.4 Age 35.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Christian Langmo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lorenzo Giustino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Christian Langmo Lorenzo Giustino

1st Serve In %

—

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.9%

57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

77.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Christian Langmo Lorenzo Giustino

Break Points Saved %

—

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.2%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Christian Langmo and Lorenzo Giustino have never played each other.

Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino — Prediction