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Chris Rodesch vs Paul Inchauspe — Prediction

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Chris Rodesch

Luxembourg

87.76%

Paul Inchauspe

France

12.24%

Average Odds

1.33  /  3.09

Market probability

69.91%  /  30.09%

Why This Prediction?

Chris Rodesch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1698 vs 1435), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1661 vs 1525) and more career match wins (55 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1698.2 Elo 1434.7
1661.4 Elo (surface) 1525.4
55 Wins (Challenger) 1
41 Wins (surface) 1
8 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.055 Dominance ratio 0.648
191 Rank 825
25.0 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Chris Rodesch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Paul Inchauspe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Paul Inchauspe

1st Serve In %

67.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%
63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.0%
54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%
44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.47
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Paul Inchauspe

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.0%
75.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Chris Rodesch 00 Paul Inchauspe

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-15
6-1 7-6
4 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 1
72 Service Points 67
43 First Serve In 44
33 First Serve Won 28
18 Second Serve Won 13
3 Break Points Saved 8
3 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Chris Rodesch — Last 10

W W W W W L W L L L

Paul Inchauspe — Last 10

L W L W W W L W W L