ATP tennis predict — Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawford

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Chris Rodesch

Luxembourg

61.51%

Oliver Crawford

Great Britain

38.49%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.85

Market probability

67.38% / 32.62%

Why This Prediction?

Chris Rodesch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1705 vs 1596), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1675 vs 1601) and a stronger serve (64.4% vs 61.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1704.8 Elo 1595.7

1675.1 Elo (surface) 1601.2

56 Wins (Challenger) 74

42 Wins (surface) 38

8 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.052 Dominance ratio 1.103

191 Rank 235

25.0 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Chris Rodesch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Oliver Crawford

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Oliver Crawford

1st Serve In %

67.1%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Oliver Crawford

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Chris Rodesch 1 – 0 Oliver Crawford

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-17

QF

Chris Rodesch #191

Oliver Crawford #235

5-7 7-6 7-5

11 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 4

102 Service Points 108

71 First Serve In 77

54 First Serve Won 53

17 Second Serve Won 19

2 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Hard Morelia CH · 2026-03-23

R32

Chris Rodesch #142

Oliver Crawford #196

6-3 6-3

11 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 6

56 Service Points 54

36 First Serve In 26

32 First Serve Won 21

9 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawford — Prediction