ATP tennis predict — Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · F

Predicted probability

Chris Rodesch

Luxembourg

60.56%

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

39.44%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.46

Market probability

62.12% / 37.88%

Why This Prediction?

Chris Rodesch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1727 vs 1649), a stronger serve (69.8% vs 64.3% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1706 vs 1673).

Player Comparison

1727.4 Elo 1649.0

1706.0 Elo (surface) 1672.8

58 Wins (Challenger) 127

44 Wins (surface) 111

8 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.135 Dominance ratio 1.191

191 Rank 554

25.0 Age 32.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Chris Rodesch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Ilya Ivashka

1st Serve In %

67.1%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.0%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Ilya Ivashka

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

62.6%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

51.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Chris Rodesch 0 – 0 Ilya Ivashka

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-19

F

Chris Rodesch #153

Ilya Ivashka #406

6-4 2-6 7-6

5 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 5

99 Service Points 93

66 First Serve In 59

43 First Serve Won 45

22 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka — Prediction