ATP tennis predict — Chris Rodesch vs Akira Santillan

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · SF

Predicted probability

Chris Rodesch

Luxembourg

74.38%

Akira Santillan

Australia

25.62%

Average Odds

1.24 / 3.76

Market probability

75.20% / 24.80%

Why This Prediction?

Chris Rodesch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1718 vs 1544), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1692 vs 1559) and a stronger serve (66.1% vs 61.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1717.6 Elo 1543.9

1692.3 Elo (surface) 1558.6

57 Wins (Challenger) 159

43 Wins (surface) 111

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.019 Dominance ratio 0.968

191 Rank 301

25.0 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Chris Rodesch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Akira Santillan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–8L · 27.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Akira Santillan

1st Serve In %

67.1%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

73.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.0%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chris Rodesch Akira Santillan

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

52.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Chris Rodesch 0 – 0 Akira Santillan

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-18

SF

Chris Rodesch #191

Akira Santillan #301

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

47 Service Points 66

35 First Serve In 41

32 First Serve Won 27

8 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Chris Rodesch vs Akira Santillan — Prediction