ATP tennis predict — Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Charles Broom

Great Britain

33.26%

Zhizhen Zhang

China

66.74%

Average Odds

2.83 / 1.39

Market probability

32.94% / 67.06%

Why This Prediction?

Zhizhen Zhang is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1671 vs 1535), a stronger serve (69.5% vs 52.7% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (55 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1535.0 Elo 1671.4

1557.4 Elo (surface) 1538.0

69 Wins (Challenger) 115

50 Wins (surface) 50

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.675 Dominance ratio 1.073

280 Rank 158

28.2 Age 29.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Charles Broom

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Zhizhen Zhang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Charles Broom Zhizhen Zhang

1st Serve In %

62.9%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

42.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.3%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

75.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.7%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.92

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Charles Broom Zhizhen Zhang

Break Points Saved %

60.2%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

32.5%

52.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

71.4%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

31.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Charles Broom 0 – 0 Zhizhen Zhang

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-22

R16

Charles Broom #280

Zhizhen Zhang #158

2-6 7-6 6-2

5 Aces 11

7 Double Faults 2

102 Service Points 123

63 First Serve In 75

45 First Serve Won 47

13 Second Serve Won 23

11 Break Points Saved 14

15 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhang — Prediction