ATP tennis predict — Charles Broom vs Mathys Erhard

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Charles Broom

Great Britain

53.59%

Mathys Erhard

France

46.41%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.73

Market probability

65.94% / 34.06%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1634.1 Elo 1622.6

1648.9 Elo (surface) 1578.8

78 Wins (Challenger) 78

59 Wins (surface) 20

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.916 Dominance ratio 1.076

237 Rank 339

28.4 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Charles Broom

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Mathys Erhard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Charles Broom Mathys Erhard

1st Serve In %

62.9%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

62.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.3%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.7%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

41.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Charles Broom Mathys Erhard

Break Points Saved %

60.2%

65.1%

Break Points Converted %

32.5%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

51.0%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

28.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Charles Broom 0 – 0 Mathys Erhard

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-01

qualification - round of 16

Mathys Erhard #339

Charles Broom #237

6-2 6-7 6-1

2 Aces 14

3 Double Faults 5

84 Service Points 86

47 First Serve In 46

31 First Serve Won 37

21 Second Serve Won 29

5 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Charles Broom vs Mathys Erhard — Prediction