ATP tennis predict — Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Anton Shepp

Challenger Hard Lincoln challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

23.67%

Anton Shepp

New Zealand

76.33%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.68

Market probability

80.00% / 20.00%

Why This Prediction?

Anton Shepp is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1572 vs 1418), a higher Elo rating (1570 vs 1426) and better recent form (1 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1425.7 Elo 1570.4

1417.9 Elo (surface) 1571.8

0 Wins (Challenger) 1

0 Wins (surface) 1

0 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.866 Dominance ratio 0.866

111 Rank 516

22.1 Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Anton Shepp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chak Lam Coleman Wong Anton Shepp

1st Serve In %

57.5%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

15.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.1%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

1.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Chak Lam Coleman Wong Anton Shepp

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

—

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Chak Lam Coleman Wong and Anton Shepp have never played each other.

Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Anton Shepp — Prediction