ATP tennis predict — Cezar Cretu vs Thomas Faurel

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Cezar Cretu

Romania

58.84%

Thomas Faurel

France

41.16%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.87

Market probability

50.40% / 49.60%

Why This Prediction?

Cezar Cretu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1570 vs 1475), a higher Elo rating (1574 vs 1473) and a stronger return game (40.9% vs 33.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1574.3 Elo 1473.4

1570.1 Elo (surface) 1474.9

55 Wins (Challenger) 23

55 Wins (surface) 20

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.043 Dominance ratio 0.812

266 Rank 331

25.3 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Thomas Faurel

1st Serve In %

60.4%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

41.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.4%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Cezar Cretu Thomas Faurel

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

69.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

53.6%

56.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Cezar Cretu 0 – 0 Thomas Faurel

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-17

1. round

Cezar Cretu #266

Thomas Faurel #331

2-6 6-2 6-4

2 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 4

80 Service Points 90

49 First Serve In 53

31 First Serve Won 36

17 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Cezar Cretu vs Thomas Faurel — Prediction